Crude Oil Volatility with Geopolitical Events
OptionMetricsWed Apr 24, 4:56PM CDT
How might geopolitical event affect crude oil and other commodities? Since implied volatility is a measure of future uncertainty and anxiety, it can be used to help to understand the long term effects of geopolitical events on the market, both current, and for months in the future (using the implied volatility forward curve). The shape of the curve, as well how much it has shifted, can then imply how seriously the market might be taking each geopolitical event.